Collected recent information on US immigration and estimated future trends

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Visa Restrictions

The Trump administration is considering imposing travel visa restrictions on citizens of dozens of countries.

Scope of impact: Threatens more than 400,000 temporary visa holders in the United States, including business travelers, international students, tourists, and fiancés of U.S. citizens.

The new measures are seen as an upgraded version of the "travel ban" during Trump's first term, with wider coverage and stronger enforcement.

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Officials' Statement

Vice President Vance said that holding a green card does not mean that one can stay in the United States forever, and based on "national security", the United States has the right to decide who can join.

Secretary of State Rubio: Called for strict control over the issuance of student visas and green cards, and pointed the finger at foreign officials, saying that any individual who assists illegal immigrants to enter the United States will be placed on a visa blacklist.

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Purpose of immigration policy reform

The Trump administration has made immigration a campaign priority, claiming that immigrants take away American jobs and depress wages, and has promised to "restore U.S. border security."

Indirect warning: "external support chain" for illegal immigrants from Latin American countries.

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Opposition

Economic impact: Chloe Easter, a researcher at the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER), pointed out that immigrants provide key goods and services. A decrease in the number of immigrants will lead to higher prices of goods and services. In the long run, the American people will suffer losses.

Security doubts: David Baier, director of immigration studies at the Cato Institute, released a report saying that there is no reason to restrict immigration on the grounds of security. Between 1975 and 2023, less than 1% of Americans died from terrorists born in the "target country." Visa restriction policies will neither make Americans safer nor harm the interests of the U.S. economy and law-abiding immigrants.

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Summary: The Trump administration is resolute, but opposition voices still exist. I wonder if they will find a compromise. In addition, the Trump administration mainly targets illegal immigrants, especially those from Latin American countries, while we Hong Kong people are still welcomed by the US government! There is an express lane.

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